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Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Lok. Sofia Logo

Lok. Sofia

1 - 3
FT
CSKA 1948 Sofia Logo

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Soltani F.
16'
Daskalov R.
46'
Sub
Dost E. In: Medfai M.
Out: Dost E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Lok. Sofia and CSKA 1948 Sofia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lok. Sofia
15%
Draws
40%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Sofia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 14%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.44 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:1
May 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Delev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciel F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 35 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Lok. Sofia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
17 Oct
Vihren
1 : 2
Lok. Sofia
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
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CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
16 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 4
CSKA 1948 Sofia
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)