Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Soltani F.
16'
Daskalov R.
46'
Sub
Dost E. In: Medfai M.
Out: Dost E.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Lok. Sofia and CSKA 1948 Sofia finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Lok. Sofia
20%
Draws
65%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CSKA 1948 Sofia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:1
May 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Delev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciel F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 23 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Lok. Sofia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Away)
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
11 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Ludogorets 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
3 CSKA Sofia 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Arda 7 5 1 1 11:4 16
6 Septemvri Sofia 7 2 2 3 5:10 8
7 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9:13 8
8 Slavia Sofia 6 1 4 1 6:4 7
9 Botev Plovdiv 7 2 1 4 8:12 7
10 Cherno More 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
11 Botev Vratsa 7 1 1 5 4:15 4
12 Dunav Ruse 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
13 Lok. Sofia 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
14 Lok. Plovdiv 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)