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Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Sofia host CSKA Sofia in the efbet League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lok. Sofia at 1.52 goals for, 1.68 against; CSKA Sofia at 1.52 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Lok. Sofia have won 0 to CSKA Sofia's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.75, favoring CSKA Sofia. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lok. Sofia
20%
Draws
60%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia taking it.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 12%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 22 / 100
CSKA Sofia 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (25 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

CSKA Sofia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS CSKA Sofia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 5

CSKA Sofia

(Away)
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0 : 2
OFI Crete
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0
CSKA Sofia
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0
Botev Vratsa
13 Aug
CSKA Sofia
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Ludogorets 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
3 CSKA Sofia 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Arda 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
6 Septemvri Sofia 7 2 2 3 5:10 8
7 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9:13 8
8 Slavia Sofia 6 1 4 1 6:4 7
9 Botev Plovdiv 7 2 1 4 8:12 7
10 Cherno More 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
11 Botev Vratsa 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
12 Dunav Ruse 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
13 Lok. Plovdiv 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
14 Lok. Sofia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)