Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Lok. Sofia Logo

Lok. Sofia

0 - 2
FT
CSKA Sofia Logo

CSKA Sofia

Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Eto'o J.
46'
Sub
Pittas I. In: Sensi S.
Out: Pittas I.
59'
Sub
Caue Caruzo In: Papazov M.
Out: Caue Caruzo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between Lok. Sofia and CSKA Sofia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lok. Sofia
30%
Draws
43%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSKA Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 17
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.44 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:0
Dec 13, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Sofia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Eto'o J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zwarts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 30 / 100
CSKA Sofia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

CSKA Sofia let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Lok. Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS CSKA Sofia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia

(Away)
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)