Sport Picks
Lok. Sofia vs Ludogorets
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia 
Match Events
4'
4'
Chochev I.
Assist: Marinov A.
8'
8'
Stanic P.
Penalty Missed
19'
19'
Marinov A.
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ludogorets have won more games recently than Lok. Sofia.
- Model gives Ludogorets a 55% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ludogorets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 13%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Sofia | Ludogorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3
Aug 17, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Sofia
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Sofia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Caue Caruzo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Chochev I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Sofia 11 / 100
Ludogorets 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Sofia Ludogorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lok. Sofia scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Ludogorets let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lok. Sofia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Sofia VS Ludogorets
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Sofia
(Home) 06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1 Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3 CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3 CSKA 1948 Sofia
25 Jul
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0 Teuta
04 Jul
Lok. Sofia
3 : 3 Dukagjini
Page 1 of 3
Ludogorets
(Away) 06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 20 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Arda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 13 | Lok. Sofia | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
