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Lok. Sofia vs Radnik Surdulica

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Quarshie E.
42' Event
Markocevic D.

AI Match Summary

Radnik Surdulica in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Radnik Surdulica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lok. Sofia
33%
Draws
27%
Radnik Surdulica
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lok. Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Sofia average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Radnik Surdulica's 0.75.
  • Model gives Lok. Sofia a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Radnik Surdulica
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Radnik Surdulica
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Top Goalscorer Quarshie E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Markocevic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 40 / 100
Radnik Surdulica 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Radnik Surdulica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lok. Sofia scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Radnik Surdulica has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lok. Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Radnik Surdulica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0
Teuta
04 Jul
Lok. Sofia
3 : 3
Dukagjini
26 Jun
Lok. Sofia
2 : 1
Drita
22 May
Spartak Varna
3 : 0
Lok. Sofia
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Radnik Surdulica

(Away)
19 Jul
Radnik Surdulica
1 : 1
Mladost Lucani
09 Jul
Novi Pazar
0 : 1
Radnik Surdulica
04 Jul
Radnik Surdulica
3 : 1
Buducnost
30 Jun
Levski Sofia
5 : 0
Radnik Surdulica
23 May
Partizan
5 : 0
Radnik Surdulica
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