Sport Picks

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Lok. Sofia vs Svoge

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lok. Sofia and Svoge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lok. Sofia
35%
Draws
32%
Svoge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Svoge come out ahead of Lok. Sofia on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lok. Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Svoge Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Svoge
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.46 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Svoge
1:0
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Svoge vs Lok. Sofia
2:1
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Svoge
1:0
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Svoge
3:2
Feb 15, 2021 Vtora liga
Lok. Sofia vs Svoge
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 32 / 100
Svoge 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Svoge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Svoge let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Svoge registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Svoge
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
17 Aug
Arda
3 : 1
Lok. Sofia
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
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Svoge

(Away)
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
02 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Svoge
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Svoge
16 Aug
Svoge
0 : 1
Nesebar
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