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Lok. Tashkent vs OKMK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Lokomotiv Stadium, Tashkent
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Tashkent host OKMK in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Lok. Tashkent at 1.52 goals for, 1.26 against; OKMK at 1.45 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Lok. Tashkent have won 0 to OKMK's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 0.94) back OKMK to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lok. Tashkent
20%
Draws
40%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Tashkent.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors OKMK here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
OKMK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Tashkent OKMK
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
1:0
May 14, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs OKMK
0:2
Aug 2, 2023 Uzbekistan Cup
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
2:1
Aug 10, 2022 Super League
OKMK vs Lok. Tashkent
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Tashkent 32 / 100
OKMK 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Tashkent OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Tashkent scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

OKMK let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lok. Tashkent went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Tashkent VS OKMK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Tashkent

(Home)
17 Oct
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
11 Oct
Sogdiana
2 : 3
Lok. Tashkent
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
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OKMK

(Away)
15 Oct
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
OKMK
11 Oct
OKMK
2 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)