Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Zagreb host Rudes in the HNL. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Rudes have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Lok. Zagreb have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Lok. Zagreb slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.56, favoring Rudes. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lok. Zagreb
20%
Draws
51%
Rudes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rudes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rudes lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Lok. Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 15%
Rudes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Zagreb Rudes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
4:1
May 18, 2024 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
3:3
Mar 9, 2024 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
3:0
Dec 3, 2023 HNL
Rudes vs Lok. Zagreb
0:0
Sep 15, 2023 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Rudes
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Zagreb 39 / 100
Rudes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Zagreb Rudes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Zagreb scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Rudes conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lok. Zagreb stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Zagreb VS Rudes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Zagreb

(Home)
11 Oct
Lok. Zagreb
0 : 1
Varazdin
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Rudes

(Away)
09 Oct
HNK Gorica
1 : 2
Rudes
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
09 Sept
NK Koprivnica
2 : 3
Rudes
06 Sept
Rudes
0 : 4
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hajduk Split 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
2 Varazdin 9 5 3 1 14:7 18
3 Din. Zagreb 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
4 Osijek 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
5 Rijeka 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
6 Istra 1961 9 3 3 3 17:14 12
7 Slaven Belupo 9 3 1 5 11:17 10
8 Lok. Zagreb 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 Rudes 9 2 1 6 12:25 7
10 HNK Gorica 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)