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Lokomotiv Gomel vs Belshina Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2025 Lokomotiv Stadium, Gomel
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Match Events

21' Event
Dubovskiy P.
27'
Kovsh K.
39'
Muzychenko Y.

AI Match Summary

Belshina in this Pershaya Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belshina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Lokomotiv Gomel
35%
Draws
21%
Belshina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lokomotiv Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Belshina haven't matched Lokomotiv Gomel's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotiv Gomel taking it.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Belshina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lokomotiv Gomel Clean Sheet 20%
Belshina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Gomel Belshina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Belshina
1:2
May 18, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Belshina vs Lokomotiv Gomel
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Belshina vs Lokomotiv Gomel
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Belshina
0:2
Feb 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Belshina vs Lokomotiv Gomel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Myzgin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Belshina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubovskiy P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vikhrov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Gomel 67 / 100
Belshina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Gomel Belshina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Gomel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Gomel scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Belshina conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Lokomotiv Gomel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Belshina
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Gomel

(Home)
23 Nov
FK Baranovici
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
20 Nov
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Gomel
15 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
1 : 0
Belarus U19
08 Nov
Uni X Labs
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Gomel
01 Nov
Lokomotiv Gomel
3 : 0
Osipovichi
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Belshina

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Gomel
1 : 0
Belshina
18 Sept
Belshina
2 : 0
FC Minsk
12 Sept
Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Baranovici 34 23 5 6 75:29 74
2 Dnepr Mogilev 34 20 7 7 59:37 67
3 Lokomotiv Gomel 34 18 10 6 56:34 64
4 Belshina 34 19 6 9 64:40 63
5 FK Lida 34 19 2 13 74:44 59
6 BumProm Gomel 34 16 11 7 56:36 59
7 Niva Dolbizno 34 15 10 9 68:56 55
8 BATE 2 34 15 8 11 70:52 53
9 Ostrovets 34 16 3 15 56:48 51
10 FC Minsk 2 34 15 6 13 49:47 51
11 Volna Pinsk 34 13 9 12 65:55 48
12 Belarus U19 34 11 9 14 45:48 42
13 Din. Minsk 2 34 10 10 14 34:40 40
14 Uni X Labs 34 10 6 18 54:72 36
15 FC Gomel 2 34 8 4 22 34:83 28
16 Orsha 34 7 4 23 41:94 25
17 Osipovichi 34 6 6 22 42:77 24
18 FC Slonim 34 6 2 26 30:80 20
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