Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Belene

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Mezdra in this Third League - North-West 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Mezdra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lokomotiv Mezdra
20%
Draws
0%
Belene
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotiv Mezdra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Mezdra lately — more wins on the board than Belene.
  • Win probability leans Lokomotiv Mezdra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lokomotiv Mezdra have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lokomotiv Mezdra Clean Sheet 20%
Belene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Mezdra Belene
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 26 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 3 26
Goals Scored 2.5 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.89 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2014 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
2:4
Nov 17, 2013 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Belene
2:0
May 24, 2012 Third League - North-West
Lokomotiv Mezdra vs Belene
4:1
Nov 13, 2011 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
0:1
May 22, 2011 Third League - North-West
Belene vs Lokomotiv Mezdra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Mezdra 85 / 100
Belene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Mezdra Belene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Mezdra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Mezdra's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Belene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lokomotiv Mezdra has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Mezdra VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Mezdra

(Home)
26 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
19 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Mezdra
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
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Belene

(Away)
29 May
Vihar Slavyanovo
7 : 0
Belene
22 May
Belene
2 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
15 May
Belene
2 : 4
Yantra Gabrovo
08 May
Kariana Erden
4 : 0
Belene
04 May
Belene
3 : 4
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 23 5 2 91:24 74
2 Gorna 30 23 4 3 119:26 73
3 Botev Lukovit 30 23 2 5 61:27 71
4 Spartak Pleven 30 20 5 5 66:27 65
5 Etar 30 19 5 6 61:20 62
6 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 8 10 42:49 44
7 Vidima-Rakovski 30 13 2 15 56:44 41
8 Bdin Vidin 30 12 5 13 48:47 41
9 Parva Atomna 30 9 9 12 45:50 36
10 Sitomir 30 7 7 16 35:62 28
11 OFK Levski 30 7 7 16 34:62 28
12 Belene 30 7 5 18 25:54 26
13 Kom Berkovitsa 30 6 6 18 40:64 24
14 Pavlikeni 30 7 3 20 30:81 24
15 Yantra Gabrovo 30 6 6 18 22:76 24
16 Tryavna 30 3 7 20 19:81 16
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