Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Shestopalov A.
Own Goal
21' Event
Martynovchenko V.
42' Event
Sagaria D.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 in this Youth League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
6%
Draws
4%
Fakel Voronezh U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh U19 haven't matched Lokomotiv Moscow U19's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lokomotiv Moscow U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Fakel Voronezh U19
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 21 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
4:2
Sep 12, 2025 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
0:4
Oct 6, 2023 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
3:2
Sep 9, 2022 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagaria D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belotelov G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Fakel Voronezh U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynovchenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plaksin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 95 / 100
Fakel Voronezh U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Fakel Voronezh U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow U19's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fakel Voronezh U19 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lokomotiv Moscow U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 VS Fakel Voronezh U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow U19

(Home)
17 Jul
Spartak Moscow U19
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
10 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 1
Konoplev Academy U19
03 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
1 : 3
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
26 Jun
Rubin Kazan U19
1 : 3
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
22 May
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
5 : 1
Ural U19
Page 1 of 7

Fakel Voronezh U19

(Away)
17 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
1 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg U19
10 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
3 : 2
Ural U19
03 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
1 : 2
Krasnodar U19
26 Jun
FK Rostov U19
2 : 1
Fakel Voronezh U19
22 May
Fakel Voronezh U19
0 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Krasnodar U1915121253:2037
2Zenit St Petersburg U1915102342:1832
3CSKA Moscow U1915102344:2132
4Lokomotiv Moscow U191595144:2132
5Rodina Moscow U191592431:1829
6Konoplev Academy U191564529:2822
7FK Rostov U191563624:3121
8Dynamo Moscow U191562722:2620
9Spartak Moscow U191547426:3119
10Almaz Antey U191553721:3218
11FC Chertanovo Moscow U191545621:3417
12Ural U191544716:2816
13FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U191533917:3912
14Dynamo Makhachkala U1915321022:3411
15Fakel Voronezh U1915301220:359
16Rubin Kazan U1915231020:369
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)