Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Andreev N.
16' Event
Sagaria D.
17' Event
Belenkov N.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Lokomotiv Moscow U19 and FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiv Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
15%
Draws
28%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotiv Moscow U19 come out ahead of FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lokomotiv Moscow U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 17%
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
3:1
Apr 17, 2026 Youth League
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
2:2
Nov 1, 2024 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
7:0
Sep 20, 2024 Youth League
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 vs Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1:2
Jul 14, 2023 Youth League
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagaria D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Belenkov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 31 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 VS FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow U19

(Home)
09 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg U19
18 Sept
Krasnodar U19
3 : 0
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
11 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
1 : 0
FK Rostov U19
04 Sept
Rodina Moscow U19
6 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
28 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Page 1 of 6

FC Chertanovo Moscow U19

(Away)
09 Oct
Fakel Voronezh U19
2 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
18 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
4 : 2
Dynamo Moscow U19
11 Sept
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
4 : 3
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
04 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
1 : 2
Almaz Antey U19
28 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
3 : 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 25 19 2 4 79:33 59
2 Zenit St Petersburg U19 25 17 3 5 71:33 54
3 Krasnodar U19 25 17 2 6 74:41 53
4 Rodina Moscow U19 25 16 3 6 65:33 51
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 25 14 5 6 60:40 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 25 13 5 7 51:39 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 25 12 5 8 51:53 41
8 Spartak Moscow U19 25 7 10 8 38:42 31
9 FK Rostov U19 25 9 4 12 37:44 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 25 9 2 14 41:49 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 25 8 3 14 33:56 27
12 Ural U19 25 7 4 14 30:51 25
13 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 25 6 5 14 34:57 23
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 25 6 4 15 31:65 22
15 Fakel Voronezh U19 25 4 4 17 27:52 16
16 Rubin Kazan U19 25 4 3 18 26:60 15
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)