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Lokomotiv Moscow vs Arsenal Tula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lokomotiv Moscow and Arsenal Tula finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal Tula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lokomotiv Moscow
20%
Draws
40%
Arsenal Tula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotiv Moscow come out ahead of Arsenal Tula on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lokomotiv Moscow a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow Arsenal Tula
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
0:2
Mar 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
Jun 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
2:1
Nov 29, 2021 Premier League
Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
Jul 24, 2021 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow 76 / 100
Arsenal Tula 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow Arsenal Tula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lokomotiv Moscow scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Lokomotiv Moscow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow VS Arsenal Tula
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow

(Home)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
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Arsenal Tula

(Away)
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
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