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Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Silyanov A. In: Nenakhov M.
Out: Silyanov A.
46'
Sub
Morozov E. In: Dzhikiya G.
Out: Morozov E.
46'
Sub
Rakov V. In: Kovalenko A.
Out: Rakov V.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lokomotiv Moscow
20%
Draws
47%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CSKA Moscow at 1.43 per game, Lokomotiv Moscow at 1.21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Moscow here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 15%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Nenakhov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CSKA Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow 31 / 100
CSKA Moscow 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow CSKA Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSKA Moscow conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Lokomotiv Moscow scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Lokomotiv Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow VS CSKA Moscow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Moscow

(Home)
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0
Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
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CSKA Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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