Sport Picks
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup RZD Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sub
Rudenko A. In: Bakaev Z.
Out: Rudenko A.
40'
40'
Reis M.
46'
46'
Sub
Kislyak M. In: Oblyakov I.
Out: Kislyak M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- CSKA Moscow average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Lokomotiv Moscow's 1.38.
- Model gives Lokomotiv Moscow a 42% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CSKA Moscow have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 17%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moscow | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
Aug 4, 2026 Russian Cup
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Lokomotiv Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
May 17, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotiv Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Silyanov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
CSKA Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Reis M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotiv Moscow 41 / 100
CSKA Moscow 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotiv Moscow CSKA Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CSKA Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Lokomotiv Moscow scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Lokomotiv Moscow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotiv Moscow VS CSKA Moscow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotiv Moscow
(Home) 10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
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03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
08 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Akron Togliatti
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CSKA Moscow
(Away) 11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
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17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
01 Sept
FK Rostov
2 : 0 CSKA Moscow
28 Aug
Akron Togliatti
2 : 2 CSKA Moscow
04 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
