Sport Picks
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
Premier League RZD Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
33'
33'
Komlichenko N.
33'
33'
Chernov N.
41'
41'
Chevardin D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lokomotiv Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
- Model gives Krylya Sovetov Samara a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 16%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotiv Moscow | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Lokomotiv Moscow
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Lokomotiv Moscow
3:2
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:2
Mar 28, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Lokomotiv Moscow
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotiv Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Komlichenko N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Rahmanovic A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotiv Moscow 15 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotiv Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Lokomotiv Moscow scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Krylya Sovetov Samara let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Lokomotiv Moscow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotiv Moscow VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotiv Moscow
(Home) 03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
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03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
08 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Away) 02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
23 Aug
Akron Togliatti
0 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
04 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
