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Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W

Russia Russia

Super Cup Women 2025 Yekaterinburg Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Buwaro O.
46'
Sub
Linnik A. In: Kozlova V.
Out: Linnik A.
49' Event
Kiki
Assist: Pantyukhina E.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Moscow W host Zenit St Petersburg W in the Super Cup Women 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Zenit St Petersburg W have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Lokomotiv Moscow W have conceded 0.63 and scored 2.38. Head-to-head, Lokomotiv Moscow W have won 0 to Zenit St Petersburg W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Zenit St Petersburg W. Zenit St Petersburg W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lokomotiv Moscow W
6%
Draws
90%
Zenit St Petersburg W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lokomotiv Moscow W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Zenit St Petersburg W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Super Cup Women 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lokomotiv Moscow W Clean Sheet 15%
Zenit St Petersburg W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Moscow W Zenit St Petersburg W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs Lokomotiv Moscow W
4:3
Aug 29, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:1
Jun 8, 2025 Super Cup Women
Lokomotiv Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Moscow W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Zenit St Petersburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiki
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pantyukhina E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Moscow W 10 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Moscow W Zenit St Petersburg W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Moscow W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Zenit St Petersburg W let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lokomotiv Moscow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zenit St Petersburg W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Moscow W VS Zenit St Petersburg W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3