Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lokomotiv Oslo vs Baerum

Norway Norway

OBOS Supercup 2025
Sat, Mar 22, 2025
3 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Oslo play Baerum in the OBOS Supercup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotiv Oslo averaged 1.88 goals scored and 3 conceded. Baerum averaged 2.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotiv Oslo won 1, Baerum won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Lokomotiv Oslo and 2.81 for Baerum. This points to a Baerum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lokomotiv Oslo
6%
Draws
90%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baerum has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lokomotiv Oslo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Baerum.
  • Cup tournament structure in OBOS Supercup 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lokomotiv Oslo Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Oslo Baerum
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 3 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Lokomotiv Oslo
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Lokomotiv Oslo
7:2
Mar 22, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Lokomotiv Oslo vs Baerum
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotiv Oslo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Oslo 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Oslo Baerum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiv Oslo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Baerum let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Lokomotiv Oslo went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Baerum lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Oslo VS Baerum
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lokomotiv Oslo3
Baerum2