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Lokomotiv Ruse vs Kaliakra Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiv Ruse in this Third League - North-East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotiv Ruse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lokomotiv Ruse
15%
Draws
57%
Kaliakra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaliakra have won more games recently than Lokomotiv Ruse.
  • Model gives Kaliakra a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lokomotiv Ruse have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lokomotiv Ruse Clean Sheet 20%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiv Ruse Kaliakra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2019 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Kaliakra
4:1
Apr 17, 2019 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Kaliakra
3:0
Nov 3, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Lokomotiv Ruse
1:0
May 16, 2018 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Kaliakra
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Kaliakra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiv Ruse 10 / 100
Kaliakra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiv Ruse Kaliakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaliakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lokomotiv Ruse's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Kaliakra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotiv Ruse VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotiv Ruse

(Home)
01 Jun
Kubrat
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
26 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Chernolomets
6 : 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
01 May
Fratria
5 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
27 Apr
Lokomotiv Ruse
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
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Kaliakra

(Away)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)