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Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Blava

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotiva Kozarovce play Blava in the 4. liga - West 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotiva Kozarovce averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. Blava averaged 1.49 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotiva Kozarovce won 1, Blava won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 19, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Lokomotiva Kozarovce and 1.36 for Blava. This points to a Blava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lokomotiva Kozarovce
26%
Draws
47%
Blava
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Blava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Lokomotiva Kozarovce picked up more points recently compared to Blava.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.36 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Lokomotiva Kozarovce Clean Sheet 18%
Blava Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotiva Kozarovce Blava
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.62

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 4. liga - West
Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Blava
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 4. liga - West
Blava vs Lokomotiva Kozarovce
0:1
Jun 4, 2023 4. liga - West
Lokomotiva Kozarovce vs Blava
1:4
Oct 30, 2022 4. liga - West
Blava vs Lokomotiva Kozarovce
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotiva Kozarovce 28 / 100
Blava 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotiva Kozarovce Blava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blava or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lokomotiva Kozarovce attacking → ← attacking Blava

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotiva Kozarovce scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Blava let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lokomotiva Kozarovce went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Blava lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75