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Lokomotive Leipzig vs Altglienicke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Arcalean J.
30' Event
Strasner E.
59' Event
Tattermusch T.

AI Match Summary

Lokomotive Leipzig in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotive Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lokomotive Leipzig
30%
Draws
47%
Altglienicke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altglienicke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altglienicke lately — more wins on the board than Lokomotive Leipzig.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lokomotive Leipzig here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 14%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotive Leipzig Altglienicke
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.72 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Altglienicke
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Altglienicke
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Altglienicke
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Lokomotive Leipzig
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotive Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcalean J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Strasner E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Altglienicke Compare

Top Goalscorer Tattermusch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotive Leipzig 31 / 100
Altglienicke 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotive Leipzig Altglienicke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altglienicke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altglienicke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lokomotive Leipzig found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lokomotive Leipzig remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotive Leipzig VS Altglienicke
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotive Leipzig

(Home)
25 Oct
Hallescher
2 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Oct
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
11 Oct
Babelsberg
0 : 0
Lokomotive Leipzig
26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4
Erfurt
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
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Altglienicke

(Away)
23 Oct
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
17 Oct
BFC Preussen
1 : 3
Altglienicke
09 Oct
Altglienicke
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 14 9 4 1 42:18 31
2 Chemnitzer 14 9 3 2 30:9 30
3 Hallescher 14 8 5 1 22:11 29
4 Altglienicke 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
5 Jena 14 8 2 4 23:12 26
6 BFC Dynamo 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
7 Aue 14 7 3 4 23:18 24
8 Greifswalder FC 14 6 4 4 28:23 22
9 Magdeburg II 14 6 1 7 27:28 19
10 Zwickau 14 5 4 5 17:22 19
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 14 4 6 4 27:27 18
12 Babelsberg 14 4 4 6 15:23 16
13 Chemie Leipzig 14 3 4 7 17:22 13
14 BFC Preussen 14 2 5 7 16:22 11
15 SV Tasmania Berlin 14 3 2 9 21:39 11
16 Hertha Berlin II 14 2 4 8 10:25 10
17 Rsv Eintracht 14 2 3 9 15:32 9
18 Luckenwalde 14 2 0 12 14:34 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)