Sport Picks
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Erfurt
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Lokomotive Leipzig play Erfurt in the Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lokomotive Leipzig averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Erfurt averaged 2.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Lokomotive Leipzig won 4, Erfurt won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Lokomotive Leipzig and 2.13 for Erfurt. This points to a Lokomotive Leipzig double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lokomotive Leipzig picked up more points recently compared to Erfurt.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotive Leipzig | Erfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotive Leipzig Compare
Erfurt Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lokomotive Leipzig scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Erfurt let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Lokomotive Leipzig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Erfurt lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 65:30 | 72 |
| 2 | Jena | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 65:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Zwickau | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 52:44 | 64 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 63:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Erfurt | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 68:47 | 61 |
| 6 | Altglienicke | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chemnitzer | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 56:52 | 51 |
| 8 | BFC Preussen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50:55 | 50 |
| 9 | Magdeburg II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 61:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Luckenwalde | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 11 | Babelsberg | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 67:65 | 41 |
| 12 | BFC Dynamo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:50 | 40 |
| 13 | Chemie Leipzig | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 43:49 | 40 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 46:60 | 40 |
| 15 | Greifswalder FC | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:45 | 38 |
| 16 | Meuselwitz | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Eilenburg | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 35:68 | 23 |
| 18 | Hertha Zehlendorf | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 30:79 | 14 |