Sport Picks
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
Match Events
23'
23'
Orikhovskyi P.
36'
36'
Sakhnenko O.
40'
40'
Sakhnenko O.
AI Match Summary
Fenix Mariupol in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fenix Mariupol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Fenix Mariupol haven't matched Lokomotyv Kyiv's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Persha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Fenix Mariupol
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakhnenko O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Fenix Mariupol Compare
Top Goalscorer Kucherov V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Orikhovskyi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotyv Kyiv 41 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotyv Kyiv Fenix Mariupol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Lokomotyv Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Fenix Mariupol
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotyv Kyiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
21 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 3
Fenix Mariupol
(Away) 05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2 Zorya
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1 Fenix Mariupol
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6 Fenix Mariupol
31 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 3 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:29 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
