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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Lokomotyv Kyiv Logo

Lokomotyv Kyiv

Fri, Aug 22, 2025
3 - 2
02:30 PM
Kolos Kovalivka Logo

Kolos Kovalivka

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Savchuk O.
51' Event
Savchuk P.
65' Event
Tsurikov A.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Lokomotyv Kyiv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
33%
Draws
27%
Kolos Kovalivka
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotyv Kyiv taking it.
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lokomotyv Kyiv, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
Kolos Kovalivka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 21 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Kolos Kovalivka
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Savchuk O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savchuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Kolos Kovalivka Compare

Top Goalscorer Klymchuk Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 40 / 100
Kolos Kovalivka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv Kolos Kovalivka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Lokomotyv Kyiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kolos Kovalivka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Kolos Kovalivka
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Home)
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1
FC Chernihiv
07 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
31 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 2
Kulikiv
22 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
Page 1 of 6

Kolos Kovalivka

(Away)
25 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 2
Ch. Odesa
25 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1
Ch. Odesa
18 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1
Oleksandriya
17 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 0
Kudrivka
10 Jul
Veres Rivne
2 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3