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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Nyva Ternopil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lokomotyv Kyiv host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga. This one's hard to separate. Lokomotyv Kyiv have averaged 1.66 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Nyva Ternopil's 0.83 scored and 1.28 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring Lokomotyv Kyiv. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
30%
Draws
23%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lokomotyv Kyiv have won more games recently than Nyva Ternopil.
  • Model gives Lokomotyv Kyiv a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.66 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 49 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Nyva Ternopil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Lokomotyv Kyiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Nyva Ternopil registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Nyva Ternopil
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Home)
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3
Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
27 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
21 Sept
Victoria
1 : 3
Nyva Ternopil
13 Sept
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 2
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
15 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)