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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Savchuk O.
31'
Sub
Chygur D. In: Mezhenskyi Y.
Out: Chygur D.
53'
Sakhnenko O.

AI Match Summary

The Ukrainian Cup game between Lokomotyv Kyiv and Nyva Vinnytsya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyv Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6%
Draws
4%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lokomotyv Kyiv come out ahead of Nyva Vinnytsya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lokomotyv Kyiv a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lokomotyv Kyiv here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:0
May 11, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Konovalov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 85 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv Nyva Vinnytsya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyv Kyiv's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lokomotyv Kyiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nyva Vinnytsya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Nyva Vinnytsya
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3