Sport Picks
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup 
Match Events
20'
20'
Lepskyi O.
44'
44'
Savchuk O.
51'
51'
Guk I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lokomotyv Kyiv have won more games recently than Probiy Horodenka.
- Win probability leans Lokomotyv Kyiv's way, sitting at 90%.
- Lokomotyv Kyiv have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Probiy Horodenka, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lokomotyv Kyiv | Probiy Horodenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:2
Aug 21, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Sakhnenko O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Probiy Horodenka Compare
Top Goalscorer Lepskyi O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lokomotyv Kyiv 95 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lokomotyv Kyiv Probiy Horodenka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotyv Kyiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lokomotyv Kyiv scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Probiy Horodenka let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Lokomotyv Kyiv stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Probiy Horodenka
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lokomotyv Kyiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
1 : 0 Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
3 : 3 Zhytomyr 2
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0 Kulikiv
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Fenix Mariupol
21 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Probiy Horodenka
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Probiy Horodenka
(Away) 10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2 SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2 Fenix Mariupol
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2 Probiy Horodenka
05 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6 : 0 Probiy Horodenka
21 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3 Probiy Horodenka
14 Aug
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
3 : 0 Probiy Horodenka
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
