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Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Trostyanets

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Golovatenko A.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga 2025/2026 game between Lokomotyv Kyiv and Trostyanets finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotyv Kyiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lokomotyv Kyiv
11%
Draws
9%
Trostyanets
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lokomotyv Kyiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Trostyanets haven't matched Lokomotyv Kyiv's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotyv Kyiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lokomotyv Kyiv have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Lokomotyv Kyiv Clean Sheet 68%
Trostyanets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lokomotyv Kyiv Trostyanets
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Trostyanets
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Trostyanets
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
3:0
May 17, 2025 Druha Liga
Lokomotyv Kyiv vs Trostyanets
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Druha Liga
Trostyanets vs Lokomotyv Kyiv
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lokomotyv Kyiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Golovatenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Trostyanets Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lokomotyv Kyiv 86 / 100
Trostyanets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lokomotyv Kyiv Trostyanets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyv Kyiv found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Trostyanets has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lokomotyv Kyiv remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lokomotyv Kyiv VS Trostyanets
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lokomotyv Kyiv

(Home)
25 Jul
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 1
FC Chernihiv
07 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv
31 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 2
Kulikiv
22 May
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0
Hirnyk-Sport
Page 1 of 6

Trostyanets

(Away)
22 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1
Trostyanets
17 May
Trostyanets
3 : 0
Ch. Odesa 2
13 May
Trostyanets
0 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
10 May
Livyi Bereg 2
1 : 1
Trostyanets
06 May
Trostyanets
1 : 2
Rebel Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kulikiv30215458:1868
2Zhytomyr 230189369:2263
3Nyva Vinnytsya30156942:3251
4Nyva Ternopil 2301621230:4350
5Atlet Kiev301441245:4846
6FC Uzhhorod301351240:3744
7Skala 1911301351262:4844
8FC Vilkhivtsi301251350:4641
9Bukovyna 230761731:5727
10Real Pharma Odesa30142518:967
11Lisne30831932:3027
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotyv Kyiv30224465:1670
2Kolos Kovalivka 230216364:2269
3Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka30176758:4157
4Rebel Kyiv301551034:2750
5Livyi Bereg 230139850:2848
6Trostyanets30138946:3147
7Oleksandriya 2301281037:3244
8Ch. Odesa 230591625:5624
9Dinaz Vyshgorod30542126:6219
10Penuel Kryvyi Rih30381927:6417
11Hirnyk-Sport30352220:7314
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)