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Lombard Papa vs Puskas Academy

Hungary Hungary

OTP Bank Liga 2014/2015 Perutz Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lombard Papa play Puskas Academy in the OTP Bank Liga 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lombard Papa averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Puskas Academy averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Lombard Papa won 0, Puskas Academy won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Lombard Papa and 0.99 for Puskas Academy. This points to a Puskas Academy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lombard Papa
23%
Draws
51%
Puskas Academy
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Puskas Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Lombard Papa picked up more points recently compared to Puskas Academy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Lombard Papa Clean Sheet 23%
Puskas Academy Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lombard Papa Puskas Academy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 NB I.
Lombard Papa vs Puskas Academy
0:1
Sep 20, 2014 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs Lombard Papa
3:0
Nov 30, 2013 NB I.
Puskas Academy vs Lombard Papa
1:0
Jul 26, 2013 NB I.
Lombard Papa vs Puskas Academy
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lombard Papa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Puskas Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Lencse L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lombard Papa 28 / 100
Puskas Academy 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lombard Papa Puskas Academy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puskas Academy or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lombard Papa attacking → ← attacking Puskas Academy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lombard Papa scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Puskas Academy let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Lombard Papa went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Puskas Academy lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Videoton30225364:1471
2Ferencvaros30197449:1964
3MTK Budapest30183939:2557
4Debrecen30159644:1954
5Paks30149744:2751
6Ujpest30149740:2851
7DVTK30139843:3648
8Gyor301081241:4438
9Kecskemeti TE301081230:3938
10Puskas Academy301051535:4035
11Pecsi MFC30871532:5131
12Nyiregyhaza30861633:4930
13Honved306101426:3628
14Haladas30741926:5325
15Dunaujvaros30581726:4922
16Lombard Papa30471914:5719