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Lommedalen vs Birkebeineren

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Lommedalen and Birkebeineren finished 11-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lommedalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lommedalen
15%
Draws
0%
Birkebeineren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lommedalen come out ahead of Birkebeineren on wins alone.
  • Lommedalen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lommedalen Clean Sheet 17%
Birkebeineren Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommedalen Birkebeineren
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 2.34 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.88 4.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Birkebeineren vs Lommedalen
3:4
May 30, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Birkebeineren
11:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommedalen 84 / 100
Birkebeineren 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommedalen Birkebeineren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommedalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommedalen scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Birkebeineren conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 10.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Birkebeineren registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommedalen VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommedalen

(Home)
18 Apr
Lommedalen
0 : 2
Skeid
22 Oct
Lyn
3 : 1
Lommedalen
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
08 Oct
Lommedalen
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
03 Oct
Strommen 2
0 : 4
Lommedalen
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Birkebeineren

(Away)
24 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Eik-Tonsberg
17 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
7 : 0
Birkebeineren
10 Oct
Birkebeineren
1 : 5
Larvik Turn
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
25 Sept
Birkebeineren
1 : 4
Vestfossen
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