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Lommel SK vs Charleroi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Lommel SK Logo

Lommel SK

0 - 1
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Dada-Mascoll I. In: Talvitie J.
Out: Dada-Mascoll I.
46'
Sub
Oware H. In: Adewoye S.
Out: Oware H.
58'
Sub
Bojang A. In: Colassin A.
Out: Bojang A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Lommel SK and Charleroi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lommel SK
15%
Draws
46%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lommel SK haven't matched Charleroi's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lommel SK taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 13%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Charleroi
0:1
Oct 27, 2021 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Charleroi
0:2
Nov 5, 2011 Challenger Pro League
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Boukamir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 40 / 100
Charleroi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Lommel SK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Charleroi
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi

(Away)
01 Nov
Charleroi
5 : 2
RAAL La Louviere
24 Oct
Antwerp
3 : 0
Charleroi
17 Oct
Renaissance Mons
0 : 1
Charleroi
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)