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Lommel SK vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Lommel SK at 2.13 goals for, 1.63 against; Charleroi at 1.38 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Lommel SK have won 1 to Charleroi's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 27, 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.50, favoring Lommel SK. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lommel SK
28%
Draws
50%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Charleroi haven't matched Lommel SK's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Charleroi taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 16%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Charleroi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Charleroi
0:2
Nov 5, 2011 Challenger Pro League
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 23 / 100
Charleroi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Lommel SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Charleroi
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
24 Jul
Lommel SK
0 : 4
Den Haag
18 Jul
Lommel SK
2 : 1
G.A. Eagles
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1
Lommel SK
07 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 4
Lommel SK
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Charleroi

(Away)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)