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Lommel SK vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Lommel SK Logo

Lommel SK

0 - 1
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Dada-Mascoll I. In: Talvitie J.
Out: Dada-Mascoll I.
46'
Sub
Oware H. In: Adewoye S.
Out: Oware H.
58'
Sub
Bojang A. In: Colassin A.
Out: Bojang A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between Lommel SK and Charleroi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lommel SK
15%
Draws
57%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi haven't matched Lommel SK's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Charleroi taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Charleroi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 11%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Charleroi
0:1
Oct 27, 2021 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Charleroi
0:2
Nov 5, 2011 Challenger Pro League
Charleroi vs Lommel SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Boukamir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 18 / 100
Charleroi 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Charleroi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Lommel SK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Charleroi
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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Charleroi

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
2 Gent 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)