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Lommel SK vs RWDM Brussels

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Stevanovic F. In: Rommens N.
Out: Stevanovic F.
47'
Robail G.
50'
Wouters D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 game between Lommel SK and RWDM Brussels finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lommel SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lommel SK
15%
Draws
58%
RWDM Brussels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RWDM Brussels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lommel SK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • RWDM Brussels are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 15%
RWDM Brussels Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK RWDM Brussels
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.58 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs RWDM Brussels
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Lommel SK
3:3
Apr 11, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Lommel SK
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs RWDM Brussels
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 Challenger Pro League
RWDM Brussels vs Lommel SK
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Seuntjens R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schoofs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

RWDM Brussels Compare

Top Goalscorer Poku K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simbakoli U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 27 / 100
RWDM Brussels 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK RWDM Brussels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RWDM Brussels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Lommel SK scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

RWDM Brussels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Lommel SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS RWDM Brussels
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 7

RWDM Brussels

(Away)
19 Sept
Meux
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Onhaye
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
29 Aug
RWDM Brussels
3 : 0
Flenu
26 Aug
Habay La Neuve
1 : 2
RWDM Brussels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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