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Lommel SK vs St. Liege - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK host St. Liege in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lommel SK have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.47 conceded recently, against St. Liege's 1.66 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Lommel SK have won 0 to St. Liege's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2019, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back St. Liege to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lommel SK
30%
Draws
33%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege haven't matched Lommel SK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lommel SK a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 18%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK St. Liege
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2019 Belgian Cup
St. Liege vs Lommel SK
2:1
Nov 24, 2007 Belgian Cup
St. Liege vs Lommel SK
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 41 / 100
St. Liege 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lommel SK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Liege conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lommel SK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS St. Liege
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
07 Nov
Antwerp
2 : 2
Lommel SK
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
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St. Liege

(Away)
06 Nov
St. Liege
3 : 0
SK Beveren
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)