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Lommel SK vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK host Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lommel SK at 1.67 goals for, 1.47 against; Waregem at 1.9 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Lommel SK have won 3 to Waregem's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back Lommel SK to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lommel SK
20%
Draws
22%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Waregem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Lommel SK taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 18%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Waregem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Waregem vs Lommel SK
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Waregem
1:2
May 1, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Waregem
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Waregem vs Lommel SK
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Waregem vs Lommel SK
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 85 / 100
Waregem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommel SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lommel SK scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Waregem has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Lommel SK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Waregem
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
07 Nov
Antwerp
2 : 2
Lommel SK
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
08 Nov
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Waregem
30 Oct
Waregem
2 : 4
Club Brugge
24 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Waregem
17 Oct
Waregem
3 : 0
RFC Seraing
10 Oct
Waregem
0 : 2
Gent
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)