Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lommel SK vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Nypan S. In: Vancsa Z.
Out: Nypan S.
30' Event
Reyners T.
Assist: van Duiven J.
45' Event
Schoofs L.
Assist: van Duiven J.

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lommel SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lommel SK
15%
Draws
46%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lommel SK lately — more wins on the board than Westerlo.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 20%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Westerlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
4:0
Jul 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Westerlo vs Lommel SK
2:1
Apr 2, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Lommel SK
3:0
Nov 27, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyners T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schoofs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Westerlo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 36 / 100
Westerlo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Westerlo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lommel SK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Westerlo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
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Westerlo

(Away)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
2 Gent 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)