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Lommel SK vs Westerlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Soevereinstadion, Lommel
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Nypan S. In: Vancsa Z.
Out: Nypan S.
30' Event
Reyners T.
Assist: van Duiven J.
45' Event
Schoofs L.
Assist: van Duiven J.

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lommel SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lommel SK
20%
Draws
40%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lommel SK lately — more wins on the board than Westerlo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lommel SK Westerlo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
4:0
Jul 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Westerlo vs Lommel SK
2:1
Apr 2, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Lommel SK
3:0
Nov 27, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Westerlo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lommel SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyners T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Schoofs L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Westerlo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lommel SK 30 / 100
Westerlo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lommel SK Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Westerlo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Lommel SK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lommel SK VS Westerlo
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lommel SK

(Home)
01 Nov
Lommel SK
2 : 0
Gent
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

Westerlo

(Away)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
Westerlo
2 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
8 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
9 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)