Sport Picks
London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa W
England
WSL Hayes Lane, London 
Match Events
45'
45'
Wilms L.
Assist: Nighswonger J.
46'
46'
Sub
Geyoro G. In: Marcetto M.
Out: Geyoro G.
46'
46'
Sub
Pattinson P. In: Corrales L.
Out: Pattinson P.
AI Match Summary
The WSL game between London City Lionesses W and Aston Villa W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward London City Lionesses W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: London City Lionesses W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and London City Lionesses W come out ahead of Aston Villa W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans London City Lionesses W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
London City Lionesses W Clean Sheet 16%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | London City Lionesses W | Aston Villa W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 WSL
London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa W
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs London City Lionesses W
1:3
Dec 15, 2019 WSL 2
Aston Villa W vs London City Lionesses W
3:1
Aug 25, 2019 WSL 2
London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
London City Lionesses W Compare
Top Goalscorer van de Donk D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Godfrey F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Aston Villa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilms L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
London City Lionesses W 84 / 100
Aston Villa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
London City Lionesses W Aston Villa W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LCL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
London City Lionesses W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Aston Villa W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
London City Lionesses W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
London City Lionesses W VS Aston Villa W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
London City Lionesses W
(Home) 16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1 Aston Villa W
03 May
Tottenham W
2 : 1 London City Lionesses W
26 Apr
London City Lionesses W
5 : 1 Leicester W
29 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1 London City Lionesses W
21 Mar
London City Lionesses W
1 : 1 Chelsea W
Page 1 of 6
16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1 Aston Villa W
26 Apr
London City Lionesses W
5 : 1 Leicester W
21 Mar
London City Lionesses W
1 : 1 Chelsea W
15 Mar
London City Lionesses W
0 : 2 Arsenal W
23 Feb
London City Lionesses W
2 : 3 Tottenham W
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa W
(Away) 16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1 Aston Villa W
09 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 3 Arsenal W
04 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 2 West Ham W
29 Mar
Chelsea W
4 : 3 Aston Villa W
22 Mar
Leicester W
1 : 2 Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6
16 May
London City Lionesses W
2 : 1 Aston Villa W
29 Mar
Chelsea W
4 : 3 Aston Villa W
22 Mar
Leicester W
1 : 2 Aston Villa W
08 Feb
Liverpool W
4 : 1 Aston Villa W
01 Feb
Everton W
2 : 1 Aston Villa W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 62:19 | 55 |
| 2 | Arsenal W | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 53:14 | 51 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 44:20 | 49 |
| 4 | Manchester United W | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:22 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham W | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 6 | London City Lionesses W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 28:35 | 27 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27:28 | 26 |
| 8 | Everton W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 25:37 | 23 |
| 9 | Aston Villa W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 28:48 | 20 |
| 10 | West Ham W | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 11 | Liverpool W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Leicester W | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11:52 | 9 |
Promotion - Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
