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Londrina vs America MG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Jimenez J.
21' Event
Artur
Own Goal
23'
Tarik

AI Match Summary

America MG in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored America MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Londrina
15%
Draws
59%
America MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Londrina average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of America MG's 0.76.
  • Model gives America MG a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Londrina Clean Sheet 26%
America MG Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina America MG
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.31 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
1:3
Jul 13, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
1:1
Nov 8, 2019 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:1
Aug 7, 2019 Serie B
America MG vs Londrina
4:3
Nov 18, 2017 Serie B
Londrina vs America MG
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Bigode
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 30 / 100
America MG 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina America MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America MG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Londrina's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Londrina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS America MG
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
01 Nov
Londrina
1 : 3
America MG
24 Oct
CRB
2 : 1
Londrina
20 Oct
Londrina
1 : 0
Cuiaba
13 Oct
Athletic Club
2 : 2
Londrina
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
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America MG

(Away)
01 Nov
Londrina
1 : 3
America MG
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
17 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Operario-PR
12 Oct
Criciuma
1 : 0
America MG
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)