Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Londrina vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Iago Teles
43'
Belezi
46'
Sub
Gustavinho In: Bruninho
Out: Gustavinho

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Londrina and Athletic Club finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Londrina
35%
Draws
42%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Athletic Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Athletic Club's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Athletic Club have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Londrina Clean Sheet 23%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Athletic Club
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Athletic Club
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Serie C
Athletic Club vs Londrina
2:1
Sep 2, 2024 Serie C
Londrina vs Athletic Club
2:3
Jul 13, 2024 Serie C
Athletic Club vs Londrina
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athletic Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 21 / 100
Athletic Club 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Londrina found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Athletic Club has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Londrina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Athletic Club
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club

(Away)
09 Aug
Athletic Club
2 : 0
Criciuma
28 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Athletic Club
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
18 Jul
Atletico GO
0 : 0
Athletic Club
13 Jul
Ceara
0 : 0
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 21 11 7 3 23:14 40
2 EC Juventude 21 11 5 5 23:12 38
3 Fortaleza 21 10 5 6 24:20 35
4 Operario-PR 21 10 5 6 29:28 35
5 Vila Nova FC 21 10 4 7 27:25 34
6 Novorizontino 21 9 6 6 32:20 33
7 Goias 21 9 5 7 22:26 32
8 Atletico GO 21 8 8 5 24:21 32
9 Sport Recife 21 7 11 3 26:19 32
10 Athletic Club 21 7 10 4 21:18 31
11 Sao Bernardo 21 8 6 7 31:24 30
12 CRB 20 8 5 7 31:32 29
13 Botafogo SP 21 7 6 8 26:22 27
14 Nautico 21 7 5 9 25:25 26
15 Cuiaba 21 5 11 5 16:16 26
16 Ceara 21 6 7 8 22:25 25
17 Londrina 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Avai 20 5 5 10 21:27 20
19 America MG 21 2 5 14 15:33 11
20 Ponte Preta 21 2 3 16 15:41 9
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)