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Londrina vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Joao Tavares
14'
Paulo Vitor
17'
Sub
Daniel Penha In: Thayllon
Out: Daniel Penha

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Londrina and Avai finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Londrina
33%
Draws
27%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Avai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Londrina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Avai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Avai
3:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Avai
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Serie B
Avai vs Londrina
0:0
Sep 28, 2021 Serie B
Avai vs Londrina
2:0
Jun 30, 2021 Serie B
Londrina vs Avai
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luiz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Avai Compare

Top Goalscorer Thayllon
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 50 / 100
Avai 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Londrina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Avai let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Londrina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Avai
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
28 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Avai
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)