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Londrina vs Novorizontino

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Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Paulinho Moccelin
Assist: Heron
20' Event
Romulo
23'
Alvarino A.

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Londrina
20%
Draws
46%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novorizontino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Londrina.
  • Londrina are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Londrina Clean Sheet 14%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Novorizontino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Novorizontino
1:4
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Novorizontino
0:1
Jul 19, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Moccelin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 41 / 100
Novorizontino 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Londrina scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Novorizontino conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Londrina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Novorizontino
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
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Novorizontino

(Away)
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
18 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Novorizontino
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
05 Sept
Novorizontino
3 : 1
Avai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 30 16 6 8 43:31 54
2 Novorizontino 30 14 9 7 49:27 51
3 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Atletico GO 30 13 10 7 37:27 49
6 Operario-PR 30 13 9 8 43:38 48
7 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 30 11 11 8 40:32 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 30 12 6 12 30:36 42
12 Sao Bernardo 30 11 9 10 40:31 42
13 Nautico 30 11 8 11 38:37 41
14 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
15 Ceara 30 9 9 12 33:39 36
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 30 7 7 16 39:43 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)