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Londrina vs Novorizontino

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Paulinho Moccelin
Assist: Heron
20' Event
Romulo
23'
Alvarino A.

AI Match Summary

Novorizontino in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novorizontino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Londrina
44%
Draws
20%
Novorizontino
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novorizontino lately — more wins on the board than Londrina.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Londrina Clean Sheet 16%
Novorizontino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Novorizontino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Novorizontino
1:4
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
Londrina vs Novorizontino
0:1
Jul 19, 2023 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Serie B
Novorizontino vs Londrina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Moccelin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Novorizontino Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 36 / 100
Novorizontino 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Novorizontino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Londrina scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Novorizontino conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Londrina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Novorizontino
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

Novorizontino

(Away)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Operario-PR
2 : 1
Novorizontino
04 Jul
Novorizontino
3 : 0
Atletico GO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)