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Stadium Background

Londrina vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
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Match Events

4' Event
Pereira H.
22'
Maguinho
22'
Gilberto

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Londrina and Operario-PR finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Londrina
35%
Draws
37%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Operario-PR have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Londrina Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Operario-PR
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Operario-PR
1:2
May 3, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Londrina
3:0
Mar 18, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Londrina vs Operario-PR
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 Paranaense
Londrina vs Operario-PR
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Londrina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boschilia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 32 / 100
Operario-PR 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Londrina found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Londrina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Operario-PR
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
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Operario-PR

(Away)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
11 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
12 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
13 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)