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Londrina vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Andre Lima
23' Event
Herbert
Assist: Heron
30'
Kaue Leonardo

AI Match Summary

Londrina in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Londrina
30%
Draws
23%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Londrina lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Londrina a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Ponte Preta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.3 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Ponte Preta
6:0
May 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Ponte Preta
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Dantas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 77 / 100
Ponte Preta 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Londrina found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ponte Preta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Ponte Preta
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
01 Nov
Londrina
1 : 3
America MG
24 Oct
CRB
2 : 1
Londrina
20 Oct
Londrina
1 : 0
Cuiaba
13 Oct
Athletic Club
2 : 2
Londrina
07 Oct
Avai
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
30 Oct
Criciuma
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
24 Oct
Ponte Preta
2 : 2
Fortaleza
16 Oct
Ponte Preta
1 : 1
Atletico GO
12 Oct
Novorizontino
5 : 1
Ponte Preta
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
12 Botafogo SP 36 13 9 14 41:39 48
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 36 8 8 20 45:54 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)