Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Londrina vs Ponte Preta

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Vitorino Goncalves Dias (VGD), Londrina
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Andre Lima
23' Event
Herbert
Assist: Heron
30'
Kaue Leonardo

AI Match Summary

Londrina in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Londrina
15%
Draws
0%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Londrina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Londrina lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Model gives Londrina a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Londrina Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Londrina Ponte Preta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.31 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Ponte Preta
6:0
May 18, 2026 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Ponte Preta
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Serie C
Ponte Preta vs Londrina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Herbert
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Dantas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ponte Preta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Londrina 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Londrina Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Londrina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Ponte Preta has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Londrina scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Londrina VS Ponte Preta
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Londrina

(Home)
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)