Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Long An vs Bac Ninh

Vietnam Vietnam

Vietnamese Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Brenner
45' Event
Brenner
51' Event
Brenner

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Long An
15%
Draws
64%
Bac Ninh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bac Ninh have won more games recently than Long An.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Bac Ninh arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bac Ninh, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bac Ninh have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Long An Clean Sheet 11%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long An Bac Ninh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Long An vs Bac Ninh
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 V.League 2
Long An vs Bac Ninh
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Long An
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long An Compare

Top Goalscorer Romario
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenner
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long An 30 / 100
Bac Ninh 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long An Bac Ninh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Long An scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Long An stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long An VS Bac Ninh
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Long An

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
Page 1 of 6

Bac Ninh

(Away)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai -
Aurora Saigon United -
Long An 2
Bac Ninh 3
Khanh Hoa 1
Van Hien 2
Ho Chi Minh -
TBD -
Thanh Hoa 0
Binh Duong 2
Viettel -
TBD -
Quy Nhon United 1
Ho Chi Minh City 2
Nam Dinh -
TBD -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1
Hong Linh Ha Tinh 0
Hanoi FC 1
Da Nang 2
Hai Phong 0
Thep Can Tho 1
Lam Dong -
Song Lam Nghe An -
PVF-CAND -
Hue FC -
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
TBD -
Gia Lai 2
Hung Yen 3
1/8-finals
Cong An Ha Noi -
TBD -
Bac Ninh -
Van Hien -
Ho Chi Minh -
Binh Duong -
Viettel -
Ho Chi Minh City -
Nam Dinh -
Xuan Thien Phu Tho -
Da Nang -
Thep Can Tho -
TBD -
TBD -
Phu Dong Ninh Binh -
Hung Yen -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -