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Long An vs Bac Ninh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 2 2025/2026
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Match Events

71' Event
Bruno Catanhede
90'
90'

AI Match Summary

The V.League 2 2025/2026 game between Long An and Bac Ninh finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bac Ninh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Long An
15%
Draws
64%
Bac Ninh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bac Ninh come out ahead of Long An on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular V.League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bac Ninh have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Long An Clean Sheet 11%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long An Bac Ninh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.68 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Vietnamese Cup
Long An vs Bac Ninh
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 V.League 2
Long An vs Bac Ninh
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Long An
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long An Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Catanhede
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long An 30 / 100
Bac Ninh 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long An Bac Ninh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bac Ninh conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Long An scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Long An went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long An VS Bac Ninh
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Long An

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
PVF-CAND
2 : 1
Long An
23 Aug
Long An
2 : 2
Aurora Saigon United
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
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Bac Ninh

(Away)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 22 15 5 2 47:14 50
2 Bac Ninh 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
3 Ho Chi Minh City 22 11 5 6 33:22 38
4 Quy Nhon United 22 10 5 7 38:31 35
5 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 22 9 6 7 34:32 33
6 PVF-CAND B 22 8 8 6 34:26 32
7 Van Hien 22 7 7 8 21:24 28
8 Khanh Hoa 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Thep Can Tho 22 6 8 8 23:26 26
10 Aurora Saigon United 22 5 9 8 16:21 24
11 Long An 22 3 5 14 11:30 14
12 Ho Chi Minh 2 22 1 4 17 15:62 7
13 Hoa Binh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - V.League 1 (Main)
Promotion - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)