Sport Picks

Long Eaton vs Carlton Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Long Eaton

Sat, Sep 6, 2025

2 - 3

02:00 PM

Carlton Town

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Carlton Town in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Long Eaton

15%

Draws

64%

Carlton Town

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlton Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Long Eaton haven't matched Carlton Town's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Carlton Town's way, sitting at 40%.
Carlton Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Carlton Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Carlton Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Long Eaton	Carlton Town
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	4	11
Draws	7	2
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.28	1.47
Goals Conceded	2.59	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 FA Trophy

Long Eaton vs Carlton Town

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Eaton 26 / 100

Carlton Town 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Long Eaton Carlton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlton Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlton Town let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Long Eaton scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Carlton Town registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Eaton VS Carlton Town

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

3 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

(Home)

11 Jul

Long Eaton

2 : 2

Redditch

06 Sept

Long Eaton

2 : 3

Carlton Town

30 Aug

Long Eaton

1 : 4

Kettering

26 Jul

Long Eaton

2 : 3

Rushall

31 Aug

Newcastle Town

2 : 1

Long Eaton

Page 1 of 6

Carlton Town

(Away)

29 Aug

Carlton Town

2 : 3

Shepshed

25 Jul

Carlton Town

1 : 4

Matlock

20 Sept

Shifnal Town

2 : 1

Carlton Town

13 Sept

Matlock

3 : 0

Carlton Town

06 Sept

Long Eaton

2 : 3

Carlton Town

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 3

Vauxhall 1

Avro 1

Clitheroe 3

Bootle 2

Witton Albion 3

Dunston 4

Brighouse Town 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 2

Trafford 0

Pontefract Collieries 0

Lower Breck 2

Silsden 1

Atherton Collieries 0

Ossett United 1

Nantwich 3

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 2

Garforth 1

Wythenshawe Town 1

Bury FC 2

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 1

Mossley AFC 0

North Ferriby FC 1

Blyth Spartans 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Redcar Athletic 1

Consett 4

Hallam 0

Heaton Stannington 2

AFC Emley 0

Newton Aycliffe 3

Blyth Town 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 1

Chasetown 0

Long Eaton 2

Carlton Town 3

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Neots 0

Stafford 1

Boldmere St Michaels 0

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 1

Darlaston Town (1874) 0

Shepshed 0

Anstey Nomads 4

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Lichfield City 1

Corby 2

Sutton Coldfield Town 3

Kidsgrove Athletic 2

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 1

Sporting Khalsa 0

Bourne 0

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Coventry Sphinx 0

Lincoln Utd. 2

Malvern Town 5

Loughborough Students 1

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 4

Racing Club Warwick 1

Belper Town 2

Newcastle Town 1

Matlock 3

Grimsby Borough 0

Mickleover 2

Basford Utd. 3

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 4

Aylesbury United 0

Stotfold 0

Mildenhall 2

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Milton Keynes Irish 1

Hertford Town 1

Felixstowe & Walton 3

Westfield 4

Margate 2

Bognor Regis 3

Sevenoaks 2

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 4

Raynes Park Vale 0

Kingstonian 1

Merstham 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

South Park 1

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

Horndean 0

TBD -

Billericay -

Ware 1

Hadley 5

Ascot United 2

Three Bridges 0

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 1

Eastbourne Town 0

Jersey Bulls 3

Hastings 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 3

Newmarket 2

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Takeley 0

Welwyn Garden 2

London Lions 0

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 4

Binfield 3

VCD Athletic 1

Rayners Lane 0

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Erith Town 1

Deal Town 2

Herne Bay 0

Ashford United 3

Concord Rangers 2

Biggleswade FC 3

Biggleswade Town 1

Hitchin 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 0

Southall FC 1

Whyteleafe 0

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Hassocks 1

Crowborough 3

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 1

TBD -

Hashtag -

Redbridge 1

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 2

Leverstock Green 0

Walthamstow FC 3

Dowham Town FC 2

Brightlingsea 0

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Northwood 0

Beckenham Town 1

Littlehampton 1

Hendon 2

Enfield FC 1

Wroxham 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

AFC Dunstable 1

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Bristol Manor Farm 0

Shaftesbury Town 2

Brixham 0

Falmouth Town 4

Hartpury University 2

Didcot 1

Portishead Town 4

Melksham 0

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Exmouth Town 1

Swindon Supermarine 2

Bideford 3

Mousehole 1

Moneyfields 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 2

Frome Town 0

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 4

Beaconsfield Town 1

Willand Rovers 1

Bishops Cleeve 2

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 1

Flackwell Heath 0

Tavistock 2

Larkhall 1

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Semi-finals

Hyde -

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

FC Congleton Town 1

Clitheroe 3

Witton Albion 0

Dunston 1

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Workington -

TBD -

United of Manchester -

Stockton -

TBD -

Stalybridge 0

Lower Breck 3

Silsden 3

Nantwich 0

TBD -

Stocksbridge -

Runcorn Linnets 7

Bury FC 0

TBD -

Morpeth -

Widnes FC -

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Bridlington Town 2

North Ferriby FC 0

TBD -

Guiseley -

Bradford PA 2

Consett 0

Heaton Stannington 4

Newton Aycliffe 0

Whitby -

TBD -

Hebburn Town -

Prescot Cables -

TBD -

Lancaster -

Evesham -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Shifnal Town 2

Carlton Town 1

Barwell -

TBD -

Bromsgrove -

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 4

Stafford 3

TBD -

Stratford -

Rushall -

TBD -

Spalding United -

Bedworth United 0

Anstey Nomads 3

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Quorn -

TBD -

Corby 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Real Bedford -

TBD -

Stamford -

Coleshill Town 3

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4

Lincoln Utd. 0

Malvern Town 2

Halesowen -

TBD -

Leek Town -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

Kettering -

Worcester -

TBD -

Rugby 3

Belper Town 2

Matlock 1

Basford Utd. 2

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Harborough -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Cleethorpes -

TBD -

Redditch -

Stanway Rovers 3

Mildenhall 0

TBD -

Uxbridge -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Welling -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Grays 2

Felixstowe & Walton 0

Westfield 2

Bognor Regis 1

TBD -

Brentwood -

Leatherhead 2

Kingstonian 0

TBD -

Ramsgate -

Aveley -

TBD -

St. Albans -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cheshunt -

Broadbridge Heath 2

Bedfont Sports 1

TBD -

Billericay -

Hadley 3

Ascot United 2

TBD -

Dartford -

Harrow Borough 4

Jersey Bulls 0

Cambridge City 3

FC Witham Town 4

Lewes -

TBD -

Leiston -

Cray Valley -

TBD -

Berkhamsted Town -

Sudbury -

TBD -

Bury Town -

Chertsey Town -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 2

Tilbury 3

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Potters -

Stortford -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 1

VCD Athletic 2

Chatham -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Deal Town 2

Ashford United 3

Biggleswade FC 3

Hitchin 1

Hayes & Yeading 5

Southall FC 1

TBD -

Walton & Hersham -

Crowborough 1

Sittingbourne 6

TBD -

Hashtag -

Waltham Abbey 4

Lowestoft 1

Walthamstow FC 5

Leighton Town 3

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Canvey Island -

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Beckenham Town 2

Hendon 5

Enfield FC 1

AFC Dunstable 3

TBD -

Folkestone -

Bracknell Town -

TBD -

Hungerford -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Shaftesbury Town 3

Falmouth Town 2

Hartpury University 4

Portishead Town 2

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

Dorchester -

TBD -

Swindon Supermarine 1

Bideford 2

Thame United 3

Winchester City 1

TBD -

Banbury -

Fareham 2

Bishops Cleeve 4

TBD -

Sholing -

Yate -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Portchester 3

Tavistock 0

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Chichester City -

TBD -

Farnham -

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Wimborne -

TBD -

Weymouth -

Final

Hyde 1

Warrington Town 0

Ashton United 1

Clitheroe 2

Dunston 2

Warrington Rylands 1

Workington 0

United of Manchester 2

Stockton 2

Lower Breck 0

Silsden 1

Stocksbridge 2

Runcorn Linnets 1

Morpeth 2

Widnes FC 0

Bamber Bridge 3

Bridlington Town 2

Guiseley 4

Bradford PA 2

Heaton Stannington 1

Whitby 1

Hebburn Town 2

Prescot Cables 2

Lancaster 0

Evesham 0

Ilkeston 2

Gainsborough 3

Shifnal Town 2

Barwell 0

Bromsgrove 3

Sporting Club Inkberrow FC 1

Stratford 2

Rushall 0

Spalding United 2

Anstey Nomads 3

Stourbridge 2

Quorn 2

Corby 3

Real Bedford 3

Stamford 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3

Malvern Town 1

Halesowen 1

Leek Town 2

St Ives Town 1

Kettering 0

Worcester 3

Rugby 2

Basford Utd. 0

Alvechurch 1

Harborough 2

Hednesford 0

Cleethorpes 0

Redditch 1

Stanway Rovers 1

Uxbridge 0

Royston Town 0

Welling 3

Hanwell Town 2

Grays 1

Westfield 1

Brentwood 2

Leatherhead 4

Ramsgate 1

Aveley 0

St. Albans 2

Carshalton 1

Cheshunt 2

Broadbridge Heath 1

Billericay 3

Hadley 2

Dartford 1

Harrow Borough 3

FC Witham Town 1

Lewes 1

Leiston 2

Cray Valley 1

Berkhamsted Town 0

Sudbury 4

Bury Town 0

Chertsey Town 1

Tilbury 2

Burgess Hill 2

Potters 1

Stortford 4

Cray Wanderers 0

Wingate & Finchley 4

VCD Athletic 1

Chatham 1

Needham Market 0

Ashford United 4

Biggleswade FC 3

Hayes & Yeading 0

Walton & Hersham 1

Sittingbourne 1

Hashtag 0

Waltham Abbey 6

Walthamstow FC 0

Whitehawk 0

Canvey Island 2

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Hendon 1

AFC Dunstable 1

Folkestone 3

Bracknell Town 6

Hungerford 3

Basingstoke 2

Shaftesbury Town 1

Hartpury University 0

Gloucester City 1

Plymouth Parkway 3

Gosport Borough 2

Dorchester 4

Bideford 0

Thame United 0

Banbury 2

Bishops Cleeve 2

Sholing 1

Yate 1

Poole Town 2

Portchester 2

Taunton Town 1

Chichester City 2

Farnham 4

Havant & Waterlooville 4

Tiverton 2

Wimborne 2

Weymouth 0

Long Eaton vs Carlton Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England

Long Eaton

Carlton Town

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

Carlton Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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