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Long Eaton vs Leiston

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Hewlett T.
66' Event
Keane C.
90' Event
Armin A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Long Eaton and Leiston finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Long Eaton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Long Eaton
20%
Draws
73%
Leiston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Long Eaton haven't matched Leiston's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leiston's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 11%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Long Eaton Leiston
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 4 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Leiston
2:1
Jan 30, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Long Eaton
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Long Eaton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hewlett T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keane C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Armin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Long Eaton 10 / 100
Leiston 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Long Eaton Leiston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Long Eaton's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leiston has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Long Eaton went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Long Eaton VS Leiston
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Long Eaton

(Home)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

Leiston

(Away)
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2
Leiston
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0
Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0
Leiston
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3
Leiston
29 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Redditch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)