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Longford vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford host Athlone in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Longford have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Athlone's 1.17 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Longford slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 7, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.56) point toward Longford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Longford
30%
Draws
43%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Athlone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Athlone taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Longford Clean Sheet 15%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Athlone
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Division 1
Athlone vs Longford
1:2
Jun 23, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Athlone
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 19 / 100
Athlone 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Longford's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Athlone has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Longford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Athlone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
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Athlone

(Away)
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
5 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
6 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
7 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)