Sport Picks

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Longford vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford host Cork City in the Division 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Longford at 1.59 goals for, 1.34 against; Cork City at 2.14 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Cork City slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.75 - 1.94) back Cork City to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Longford
30%
Draws
37%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cork City lately — more wins on the board than Longford.
  • Cork City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cork City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Cork City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.59 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:4
May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 26 / 100
Cork City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Cork City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Longford scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Longford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cork City has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Cork City
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
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Cork City

(Away)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)