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Longford vs Finn Harps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Williams D.
39'
McKenna D.
45'
Bosakani B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Longford and Finn Harps finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Longford
20%
Draws
22%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Longford come out ahead of Finn Harps on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Longford Clean Sheet 16%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.72 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Longford
0:1
Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Finn Harps
5:0
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Longford
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Finn Harps
0:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Finn Harps
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McKenna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 48 / 100
Finn Harps 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Longford scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Longford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Finn Harps
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Finn Harps

(Away)
09 Oct
Cork City
2 : 0
Finn Harps
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)