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Longford vs Kerry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Longford Logo

Longford

0 - 1
FT
Kerry Logo

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
O'Brien A.
25'
Adenekan S.
58'
Bailey J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Longford and Kerry finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kerry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Longford
20%
Draws
42%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kerry carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 17%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Kerry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Kerry
0:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Kerry
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 41 / 100
Kerry 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kerry conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Longford remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Kerry
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1
Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
09 Oct
Cobh Ramblers
0 : 2
Kerry
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)