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Longford vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Bishopsgate, Longford
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Longford host Kerry in the Division 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Kerry have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Longford have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.59. Head-to-head, Longford have won 2 to Kerry's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.25 - 1.75) back Longford to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Longford
15%
Draws
37%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Longford Clean Sheet 12%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Kerry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Kerry
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Longford
1:0
Jul 12, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Kerry
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 38 / 100
Kerry 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Kerry conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Longford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS Kerry
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0
Finn Harps
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1
Longford
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
15 Aug
Sligo Rovers
4 : 0
Kerry
07 Aug
Cork City
3 : 1
Kerry
03 Aug
Kerry
3 : 0
Cobh Ramblers
31 Jul
Bray
0 : 4
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 28 20 4 4 59:25 64
2 UC Dublin 28 13 5 10 47:33 44
3 Bray 28 12 7 9 56:41 43
4 Longford 28 11 7 10 39:36 40
5 Cobh Ramblers 28 12 4 12 32:38 40
6 Kerry 28 9 9 10 35:34 36
7 Athlone 28 9 7 12 28:33 34
8 Wexford 28 9 7 12 32:41 34
9 Treaty United 28 7 9 12 28:41 30
10 Finn Harps 28 5 7 16 22:56 22
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)