Sport Picks

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Longford vs Pike Rovers

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
O'Sullivan D.
59' Event
O'Sullivan D.
75' Event
O'Sullivan D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Longford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Longford
15%
Draws
39%
Pike Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Longford taking it.
  • Longford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Longford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Longford Clean Sheet 68%
Pike Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Longford Pike Rovers
Matches Played 29 13
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2013 FAI Cup
Longford vs Pike Rovers
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Sullivan D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Pike Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Longford 95 / 100
Pike Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Longford Pike Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pike Rovers conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Longford scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Longford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Longford VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Longford

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

Pike Rovers

(Away)
16 Aug
Treaty United
7 : 0
Pike Rovers
20 Jul
Pike Rovers
3 : 1
Midleton
19 May
Pike Rovers
2 : 1
Villa FC
31 Jul
Bonagee
6 : 0
Pike Rovers
10 Aug
UC Dublin
2 : 0
Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3